ColdFire / Model Research

Feature Experiment Model Experiment Version 1

Unified tag for the one-by-one feature tests and the 7-family combinatorial search. The selected production candidate is baseline V6 plus S01 sigma-to-close and T01 trend-z.

Selected Model

Selection Guardrails

Selection unitfeature family combination
Search shapeall 127 non-empty subsets
Robust filterAUC + OOS PnL + 72h + 96h
Next prooffuture / nested walk-forward
This page records the research tag. A good result here is a candidate, not a final proof of live edge.

Top Robust Combinations

combofamiliesdAUCdPnL72h96h

Feature Family Passes

familystatusdAUCdPnL96h roleplay

Interpretation

S01 sigma-to-close converts BTC distance-to-strike into remaining-time sigma units. It catches high-price trades where the strike is still close enough to be crossed by normal last-minute volatility.

T01 trend-z converts recent BTC drift into side-aware sigma units. It separates close-but-moving-away from close-and-moving-toward-the-strike cases.

Deep links: one-by-one feature ledger and full combination ledger.